UCL 2022-23: Borussia Dortmund vs Sevilla prediction and betting tips (October 11)
Dortmund will play Sevilla in Round 4 of the group stage matches. They beat the Spanish team by a wide margin in the previous meeting. BVB are confident of the home win on Tuesday night.
Jude Bellingham scored a goal and gave an assist in the last match against Sevilla
Jude Bellingham scored a goal and gave an assist in the last match against Sevilla
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

Dortmund host Sevilla in Round 4 of the 2022-23 Champions League group stage games.

The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, 11 October 2022. The match venue is Signal-Iduna-Park, Dortmund, Germany.

Latest odds on betting sites

Borussia Dortmund to win odds are priced at 1.55 (-180 American; 5/9 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 4.20 (+320; 16/5), while Sevilla to win odds are priced at 5.50 (+450; 9/2).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Borussia Dortmund β€” 60%, draw β€” 22%, Sevilla β€” 18%.

Latest betting odds on Borussia Dortmund vs Sevilla (11 October 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals β€” 1.71 (-140; 5/7)
  • Under 2.5 goals β€” 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
  • Asian handicap (-1.0) on Borussia Dortmund β€” 1.96 (-104; 25/26)
  • Asian handicap (+1.0) on Sevilla β€” 1.94 (-106; 50/53)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) β€” 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
  • Both teams to score (No) β€” 1.95 (-105; 20/21)

Match preview and statistics

Dortmund are second in the group behind City city with six points and a +5 goal difference. They have two wins, a draw and two losses in their last five matches. BVB shared the spoils with Bayern Munich in their last game.

Leon Goretzka gave the Reds the lead in the 33rd minute with a low strike into the back of the net. Leroy Sane made it 0-2 to the Visitors in the 53rd minute with a strike through Meyer from 20 yards out.

Youssoufa Moukoko pulled one back in the 74th minute as he steered the strike with his left foot past Neuer into the net. Anthony Modeste made a good run down the left flank before finding Moukoko.

In the final minute of the game, Modeste scored the equaliser with the header at the back post. He missed earlier but redeemed himself with the goal. Nico Schlotterbeck did well to keep the ball in play before delivering the cross.

Team statistics: 44% possession, 1.62 expected goals, 12 total shots, two big chances, six shots on target, 348 accurate passes, 79% pass accuracy, eight fouls committed, seven corners and three yellow cards.

The Black and Yellows beat Sevilla 4-1 away in the last UCL fixture. They are confident of a home win in the return leg against the Spanish team.

Dortmund team news: Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Mahmoud Dahoud, Marco Reus, Mateu Morey and Sebastien Haller are sidelined due to injuries.

Sevilla are third in the Champions League group table with one point and a -7 goal difference. They have no win in their last five games, with three draws and two losses. The Sevillistas Rojiblancos drew 1-1 with Athletic Bilbao in their last game.

They took an early lead in the fourth minute as Oliver Torres scored from close range to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Kasper Dolberg. Mikel Vesga pulled one back for Bilbao in the 73rd minute with a shot from outside the box to the bottom left corner.

Team statistics: 46% possession, 0.97 expected goals, 10 total shots, two big chances, three shots on target, 261 accurate passes, 72% pass accuracy, 19 fouls committed, five corners and five yellow cards.

In the UCL, Sevilla are sitting in the Europa League spot without a win. The match results from the three fixtures: two losses and a draw.

Sevilla team news: Jesus Corina and Karim Rekik are ruled out because of injuries.

Borussia Dortmund vs Sevilla H2H

Dortmund beat Sevilla 4-1 in the previous meeting. They haven’t lost in four meetings against the Spanish side, with two wins and two draws.

Lineups and key players

Borussia Dortmund projected starting lineup:

  • Alexander Meyer
  • Thomas Meunier
  • Nico Schlotterbeck
  • Niklas Sule
  • Raphael Guerreiro
  • Jude Bellingham
  • Salih Ozcan
  • Julian Brandt
  • Karim Adeyemi
  • Donyell Malen
  • Anthony Modeste

Jude Bellingham is the key player to watch out for. He had a top performance against Sevilla in the last meeting, scored a goal and gave an assist. Expecting the Englishman to have a good game in the upcoming fixture.

Sevilla projected starting lineup:

  • Marko Dmitrovic
  • Tanguy Nianzou
  • Gonzalo Montiel
  • Alex Telles
  • Marcao
  • Joan Jordan
  • Nemanja Gudelj
  • Youssef En Nesyri
  • Oliver Torres
  • Isco
  • Alejandro Gomez

Youssef En Nesyri is the key player to watch out for. He found the back of the net in their last UCL games, which is the team’s only goal in the competition. En Nesyri needs to wear his scoring boots for this game.

Prediction and betting tips

Dortmund are in better form than Sevilla ahead of this fixture. They were able to go toe to toe against Bayern Munich in their last match. This would give BVB good momentum. Sevilla has now gone five games without a win. Their form is not improving at this point. It’s a no brainer to expect them to beat the German side while playing away.

The Black and Yellows have not lost any of the last four h2h matches, with two wins and two draws. The predictions for this match are Dortmund to win (1.0), BTTS (Yes) and over 2.5 goals. Both sides have scored in each of their last four meetings, while totalling at least four goals. BVB have the home advantage, and the win is important because it seals their qualification to the knockouts.

Betting prediction: Asian handicap (-1.0) on Borussia Dortmund

Odds: 1.96 (-104 American; 25/26 Fractional)

Betting prediction: BTTS and over/under β€” Yes & Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 2.20 (+120 American; 6/5 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 4
Borussia Dortmund β€” Sevilla
BTTS and over/under β€” Yes & Over 2.5 goals
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