UCL 2022-23: Milan vs Chelsea prediction and betting tips (October 11)
Chelsea smashed Milan by three goals to nil in the first leg of the tie. Will the Blues get a win over Milan in the second leg at the San Siro?
Reece James won the man of the match award in their 3-0 win over Milan at home
Reece James won the man of the match award in their 3-0 win over Milan at home
by Dipo Lukman Dipo Lukman

Milan will host Chelsea in the Round 4 of the UEFA Champions League.

The match will start at 7 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, 11 October 2022. The match venue is San Siro, Milan.

Latest odds on betting sites

Milan have their winning odds placed at 5.20 (+420; 26/5). Chelsea are the favourites and have their winning odds placed at 2.00 (+100 American; 1/1 Fractional). The betting odds for a draw are placed at 4.00 (+3000; 3/1).

The chances of the outcome are as follows: Milan — 19%, draw —24 %, Chelsea— 57%.

Latest betting odds on Milan vs Chelsea (11 October 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Asian handicap (-1.25) on Milan — 2.76 (+176; 44/25)
  • Asian handicap (+1.25) on Chelsea — 1.48 (-208; 12/25)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)

Match preview and statistics

AC Milan suffered a 0-3 defeat to Chelsea in their last Champions League game. Wesley Fofana opened the scoreline in the 24th minute with a nice finish from close range. Aubameyang doubled their lead with a top finish from close range. Reece James made it 3-0 with a top finish into the roof of the net.

Milan had 49% ball possession and completed 392 passes. They created one big chance. They had four shots with one being on target. Milan are third in the group with four points. They have scored four goals while conceding five goals with a difference of -2.

Milan got a 2-0 win over Juventus in their last league game. Fikayo Tomori opened the score line in the 46th minute with a nice finish from a close range. Brahim Diaz doubled their lead in the 54th minute with a nice finish into the bottom right corner.

Milan are fourth in the league with 20 points. They have won six games and drawn two games and suffered one defeat. Milan have scored 18 goals while conceding nine goals with a difference of +9.

Milan team news: Zlatan Ibrahimovic is out with a knee injury. Theo Hernandez is out with a groyne injury. Simon Kjaer is unavailable due to a hamstring injury. Mike Maignan is out with a calf injury. Junior Messias is unavailable due to a calf injury. Davide Calabria is out with a hamstring injury. Alexis Saelemaekers is unavailable due to a knee injury. Alessandro Florenzi is out with a hamstring injury.

Chelsea smashed Milan by three goals to nil in their last Champions League game as they continue their form under the new manager.They had 51% ball possession and completed 425 passes. The Blues created three big chances. Chelsea had 10 shots with six being on target. They had an expected goal of 1.18 compared to Milan’s expected goal of 0.42. Chelsea are second in the group with four points. They have scored four goals while conceding two goals with a difference of +2.

Chelsea got a 3-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers in their last league game. Kai Havertz opened the scoreline with a nice header into the net. Christian Pulisic doubled their lead in the 54th minute with a nice finish from close range. Armando Broja made it 3-0 in the 89th minute with a superb finish into the net.

Chelsea are fourth in the Premier League table with 16 points. The Blues have scored 13 goals while conceding 10 goals with a difference of +3.

Chelsea team news: N’golo Kante is out of the game with a knee injury. Jorginho is a doubt with a knock.

Milan vs Chelsea H2H

Chelsea smashed Milan by three goals to nil in the home fixture.

Chelsea have won two of the last two games between both sides.

Lineups and key players

Milan projected starting lineup:

  • Ciprian Tatarusanu
  • Fode Ballo
  • Pierre Kalulu
  • Fikayo Tomori
  • Davide Calabria
  • Ismael Bennacer
  • Sandro Tonali
  • Charles De Ketelaere
  • Rade Krunic
  • Rafael Leao
  • Olivier Giroud

Notable subs: Sergino Dest

Rafael Leao has been great this season. He scored a late-minute goal in their 3-1 win over Empoli. The Portuguese international has provided two assists in the Champions League this season while creating three chances.

Chelsea projected starting lineup:

  • Edouard Mendy
  • Marc Cucurella
  • Cesar Azpilicueta
  • Thiago Silva
  • Ben Chilwell
  • Reece James
  • Jorginho
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • Armando Broja
  • Mason Mount
  • Raheem Sterling

Notable subs: Kai Havertz

Reece James won the man of the match award in their 3-0 win over Milan at home. The England international was spectacular as he scored one goal and provided one assist in the game. He his a key player for Chelsea

Prediction and betting tips

Chelsea have been good under the new manager as they are scoring a lot of goals The Blues have scored a goal in four of their last four games in all competitions. Milan have scored a goal in four of their last five games in all competitions. I predict both teams will score.

Milan and Chelsea have scored the joint most goals in their group with four goals. Milan have also scored the third most goals in their league. Four of their last five games have ended in over 2.5 goals. Three of the last three helsea games have ended in over 2.5 goals. They are both good in front of a goal and both teams will be looking to get a goal. I predict over 2.5 goals.

Betting prediction: Both teams to score.

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 4
Milan — Chelsea
Lost
Both teams to score.
1.91
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