UCL 2022-23: Napoli vs Liverpool prediction and betting tips (September 7)
Liverpool suffered a 0-1 defeat to Real Madrid in the Champions League final last season. Will the Reds start the new season with a win against Napoli?
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia scored a brilliant goal in their 2-1 win over Lazio.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia scored a brilliant goal in their 2-1 win over Lazio.
by Dipo Lukman Dipo Lukman

Napoli will host Liverpool in Round 1 of the UEFA Champions League.

The match will start at 7 p.m. GMT on Wednesday, 7 September 2022. The match venue is Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli.

Latest odds on betting sites

Napoli have their winning odds placed at 3.86 (+286 American; 143/50 Fractional). Liverpool, on the other hand, have their winning odds placed at 2.00 (+100; 1/1). The betting odds for a draw are placed at 4.00 (+300; 3/1).

The chances of the outcomes are as follows: Napoli — 25%, draw — 25%, Liverpool — 50%.

Latest betting odds on Napoli vs Liverpool (7 September 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.65 (-154; 13/20)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.45 (+145; 29/20)
  • Asian handicap (-0.25) on Napoli — 2.46 (+146; 73/50)
  • Asian handicap (+0.25) on Liverpool — 1.54 (-185; 27/50)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.60 (-167; 3/5)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.30 (+130; 13/10)

Match preview and statistics

Napoli got a 2-1 victory over Lazio in their last league game. Mattia Zaccagni opened the scoreline in the fourth minute with a right-footed shot from outside the box to the bottom right corner. Min-Jae Kim levelled the scoreline in the 38th minute with a nice header from the centre of the box to the top right corner.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia made it 2-1 in the 61st minute with a right-footed shot from the centre of the box to the top left corner. Napoli had 61% ball possession and completed 552 passes. They had 19 shots with seven being on target. Napoli created three big chances in the game. They had an expected goal of 2.15 compared to Lazio’s expected goal of 0.26.

Napoli are top of the Serie A table with 11 points. They have won three games and played two draws as they remain unbeaten. Napoli scored 12 goals while conceding four goals with a difference of +4.

Napoli team news: Diego Demme is out of the game with a foot injury.

Liverpool have been poor this season as they failed to win their last match against Everton. The Reds got a last minute goal against Newcastle in a game they were poor at. Liverpool played a 1-1 draw against Everton in their last game.

Liverpool had 61% ball possession and completed 380 passes. The Reds created one big chance. Liverpool had 23 shots with eight being on target. The Reds had an expected goal of 2.19 compared to Everton’s expected goal of 1.72.

Liverpool are seventh in the Premier League table with nine points. The Reds have scored 15 goals in the league while conceding six goals with a goal difference of +9. Liverpool have won two games, drew three and suffered one defeat.

Liverpool team news: Thiago is out of the game with a hamstring injury. Oxlade Chamberlain is unavailable due to a hamstring injury. Jones is a doubt with a calf injury. Jota is out with a thigh injury. Konate is out with a knee injury. Matip is a doubt with a groyne injury. Keita is out with a muscle injury. Calvin Ramsey is unavailable due to a back injury.

Napoli vs Liverpool H2H

Napoli have won three of the last five games between both sides.

The last meeting between both sides ended in a 1-1 draw.

Lineups and key players

Napoli projected starting lineup:

  • Alex Meret
  • Min-Jae Kim
  • Amir Rrahmani
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  • Stanislav Lobotka
  • Piotr Zielinski
  • Mario Rui
  • Hirving Lozano
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • Victor Osimhen

Notable subs: Adam Ounas, Andrea Petagna

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been brilliant this season. The Georgian international scored a brilliant goal in their 2-1 win over Lazio. Khvicha has scored four goals in the league this season, overperforming his expected goals of 1.70.

Liverpool projected starting lineup:

  • Alisson Becker
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold
  • Joseph Gomez
  • Virgil van Dijk
  • Andrew Robertson
  • James Milner
  • Fabinho
  • Harvey Elliott
  • Luis Diaz
  • Roberto Firmino
  • Mohamed Salah

Notable subs: Tyler Morton, Diogo Jota, Divock Origi, Ibrahima Konate.

Mohamed Salah has been decent this season. The Egyptian international has scored two goals in the league, underperforming his expected goals of 2.55. Salah has provided two assists while creating 24 chances.

Prediction and betting tips

Napoli are in very good form as they remain top of their league. They are unbeaten in the league this season with three wins in five games. Napoli have a great record against Liverpool with three wins in their last five games. Liverpool are currently not in form as they have struggled in their last few games. I see Napoli getting a win as they haven't lost their last four games against Liverpool. I predict no bet on Napoli.

Napoli have scored a goal in four of their last five games in all competitions. Liverpool have scored a goal in four of their last five games. Both teams are very dangerous in front of the goal. Napoli have scored 12 goals in the league while Liverpool have scored 15 goals in the league. I predict both teams will score.

Betting prediction: Draw no bet on Napoli

Odds: 2.63 (+163 American; 13/8 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Both teams to score

Odds: 1.60 (-167 American; 3/5 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 1
Napoli — Liverpool
Won
Draw no bet on Napoli
2.63
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