UCL 2022-23: PSG vs Benfica prediction and betting tips (October 11)
Paris Saint-Germain keep being undefeated for 27 matches in a row. Will Benfica stop their rivals in this match or will Les Parisiens extend their streak?
Neymar Jr. is best scorer for PSG in the 2022-23 Ligue 1 with eight goals and seven assists
Neymar Jr. is best scorer for PSG in the 2022-23 Ligue 1 with eight goals and seven assists
by Alex Weaver Alex Weaver

PSG vs Benfica in Round 4 of the 2022-23 UCL Group H games. The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Thursday, 11 October 2022. The match venue is Parc des Princes, Paris.

Latest odds on betting sites

Benfica to win odds are priced at 7.70 (+670 American; 67/10 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 5.50 (+450; 9/2), while Paris Saint-Germain to win odds are priced at 1.40 (-250; 2/5).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Benfica — 13%, draw — 18%, PSG — 69%.

Latest betting odds on PSG vs Benfica (11 October 2022):

  • Over 3.5 goals — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)
  • Under 3.5 goals — 1.75 (-133; 3/4)
  • Asian handicap (+1.5) on Benfica — 1.90 (-111; 9/10)
  • Asian handicap (-1.5) on PSG — 2.05 (+105; 21/20)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.65 (-154; 13/20)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)

Match preview and statistics

PSG pulled Reims (0-0) down in the Round 10 of the 2022-23 Ligue 1.

In the first half, PSG controlled the ball 68% of the time. They made four shots with two on target, but did not finish any successfully. Les PArisiens attacked 28 times, like their rivals and completed 10 interceptions. In the 41st minute, Sergio Ramos received a red card, which made his team play defensive in the second half.

Reims played aggressively in the second half, but they were not able to control the ball most of the time in spite of playing 11 vs 10. Paris Saint-Germain controlled the ball 59% of the time and made seven shots with one on target, whereas Reims made 13 shots with three on target.

A total of under 3.5 goals has played out in the last four matches with PSG participating including the last H2H match against Benfica. The same total comes with the odds of 1.75 (-133; 3/4) this time.

PSG team news: Presnel Kimpembe – muscle injury, Timothee Pembele – knee injury, Lionel Messi – calf injury, Nuno Mendes – hip injury, Renato Sanches – groin injury.

Benfica beat Rio Ave (4-2) in the most recent fixture.

The Eagles did not give their rivals any chances in the first half. They controlled the ball 63% of the time and made 20 shots with eight on target. Rio Ave was able to make only three attempts to score with one on goal, but they finished this one successfully. Fabio Ronaldo opened the score in the sixth minute, but Benfica scored three goals in this half.

In the second half, Benfica were stronger than their rivals again. They controlled the ball 65% of the time and attacked 20 times, whereas Rio Ave completed only 13 attacks. In the 62nd minute, Petar Musa bagged the fourth goal for his team. Guga scored the last goal for Rio Ave in the 86th minute.

Benfica have scored 10 goals in the last four matches. They are priced with the odds of 3.40 (+240; 12/5) to score two goals in the next match.

Benfica team news: Lucas Verissimo – knee injury, Morato – ankle injury.

PSG vs Benfica H2H

Benfica drew against PSG (1-1) in Round 3 of the 2022-23 Champions League. They controlled the ball 40% of the time in this match and made eight shots with six on target during 30 attacks.

Les Parisiens made 15 shots with seven on target and bagged a goal. Lionel Messi scored a single goal for his team in the 22nd minute. Danilo scored an own goal, which made his team draw in this game.

Lineups and key players

PSG projected starting lineup:

  • Gianluigi Donnaruma
  • Marquinhos
  • El Chadaille Bitshiabu
  • El Chadaille Bitshiabu
  • Achraf Hakimi
  • Marco Verratti
  • Carlos Soler
  • Fabian Ruiz
  • Pablo Sarabia
  • Neymar Jr.
  • Kylian Mbappe

Neymar Jr. helped Lionel Messi to score a single goal in the last H2H match against Benfica. He is best scorer for PSG in the 2022-23 Ligue 1 with eight goals and seven assists.

Benfica projected starting lineup:

  • Odysseas Vlachodimos
  • John Anthony Brooks
  • Antonio Silva
  • Alexander Bah
  • Alejandro Grimaldo
  • Enzo Fernandez
  • Paulo Bernardo
  • Rafa Silva
  • David Neres
  • Roman Yaremchuk
  • Goncalo Ramos

Goncalo Ramos scored two goals in the last match against Rio Ave. Also, Ramos has scored four goals in the last four matches for Benfica.

Prediction and betting tips

PSG have drawn in the last two matches. They were stronger than Benfica in Round 3, but were unlucky to score a lot of goals. In the most recent fixture against Reims, they received a red card, which made them defensively, but they were able to score a goal too.

Benfica was much stronger than Rio Ave in the most recent match, but this rival is much weaker than PSG. I believe that PSG will finish the next match in their favor. They have played three home matches against Benfica and have not lost a single one. Also, a total of under 3.5 goals has played out in all these matches and in the last four matches with PSG participating. This outcome looks safe too.

Betting prediction: PSG to win & Under 3.5 goals
Odds: 2.55 (+145 American; 29/20 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 4
PSG — Benfica
PSG to win & Under 3.5 goals
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