UCL 2022-23: Shakhtar vs Real Madrid prediction and betting tips (October 11)
Real Madrid return to Champions League football this week as they play Shakhtar Donetsk. They have won the three UCL fixtures played so far. Carlo Ancelotti’s men seek another win.
Vinicius Junior has two goals and an assist in three games in the UCL
Vinicius Junior has two goals and an assist in three games in the UCL
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

Shakhtar face Real Madrid in Round 4 of this season's Champions League games.

The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, 11 October 2022. The match venue is Władysław Król Municipal Stadium, Lodz, Poland.

Latest odds on betting sites

Shakhtar to win odds are priced at 7.00 (+600 American; 6/1 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 5.50 (+450; 9/2), while Real Madrid to win odds are priced at 1.36 (-275; 4/11)

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Shakhtar — 14%, draw — 16%, Real Madrid — 70%.

Latest betting odds on Shakhtar vs Real Madrid (11 October 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.50 (-200; 1/2)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.60 (+160; 8/5)
  • Asian handicap (-1.5) on Shakhtar — 1.86 (-116; 25/29)
  • Asian handicap (+1.5) on Real Madrid — 2.05 (+105; 21/20)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.74 (-135; 20/27)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.00 (+100; evens)

Match preview and statistics

Shakhtar are second in the Champions League group table with four points and a +2 goal difference. They have three wins, a draw and a loss in their last five matches. Donetsk lost 1-2 to Real Madrid in their last match.

Rodrygo and Vinicius Junior scored two goals within the first 30 minutes to put the team in front. Oleksandr Zubkov pulled one back with the overhead kick following the brilliant cross from Bogdan Mykhalylychenko.

They had 41% possession, 0.78 expected goals, 11 total shots, three shots on target, 415 accurate passes, 86% pass accuracy, 14 fouls committed, two offsides, one corner and two yellow cards.

Shakhtar team news: No player is injured or suspended.

Real Madrid are top of the Champions League table with nine points and a +6 goal difference. They haven’t lost in 14 games. Los Blancos beat Getafe 1-nil in their last match.

Eder Militao’s header in the third minute of the game won the match for the Whites. Luka Modric assisted with the cross. Rodrygo doubled the lead in the second half, but it was ruled out by VAR due to offside.

Team statistics: 66% possession, 1.41 expected goal, 19 total shots, two big chances, four shots on target, 666 accurate passes, 90% pass accuracy, five fouls committed, two offsides, and four corners.

Real Madrid team news: Dani Ceballos and Thibaut Courtois are sidelined due to injuries.

Shakhtar vs Real Madrid H2H

Both teams have met seven times. Real Madrid have five wins, while Shakhtar have two wins. Los Blancos won 2-1 in the last meeting.

Lineups and key players

Shakhtar projected starting lineup:

  • Anatolii Trubin
  • Yukhym Konoplia
  • Valeriy Bondar
  • Mykola Matviyenko
  • Taras Stepanenko
  • Maryan Shved
  • Artem Bondarenko
  • Georgiy Sudakov
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk
  • Oleksandr Zubkov

Oleksandr Zubkov is the key player to watch out for. He found the back of the net in their last match against Madrid. Zubkov has to drop a good game and score in the next fixture to help the team maintain second place.

Real Madrid projected starting lineup:

  • Andriy Lunin
  • Daniel Carvajal
  • Eder Militao
  • Antonio Rudiger
  • David Alaba
  • Luka Modric
  • Aurelien Tchouameni
  • Toni Kroos
  • Federico Valverde
  • Vinicius Junior
  • Rodrygo

Vinicius Junior is the key player to watch out for. This season, he has two goals and an assist in three games in the UCL. Vinicius scored the second goal in their last CL game against Shakhtar. The Brazilian should be able to find the back of the net again.

Prediction and betting tips

Real Madrid have good momentum ahead of this match. Their unbeaten streak continues as they narrowly beat Getafe in their last game. In the UCL, Los Blancos have three wins in three games. Shakhtar were in good form before facing Madrid in their last match they lost.

Madrid have won the previous three matches against Donetsk. The predictions for this match are HT/FT — Real Madrid/Real Madrid, and over 2.5 goals. Real are in very good form and should be able to dominate both halves.

Betting prediction: HT/FT — Real Madrid/Real Madrid

Odds: 2.00 (+100 American; evens)

Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.50 (-200 American; 1/2 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 4
Shakhtar — Real Madrid
HT/FT — Real Madrid/Real Madrid
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