Ligue 1 2021-22 betting preview: league winner, top 4 finish, top goalscorer outrights
What surprises await us in the 2021-22 season of the French premier football league?
Lille are among top 4 favourites
Lille are among top 4 favourites
by Alex Weaver Alex Weaver

Paris Saint-Germain lost the previous Ligue 1 season, which was the most unpredictable occasion. Who are the main contenders and probable losers of the league now?

Let's explore.

To win 2021-22 Ligue 1 betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities

Paris Saint-Germain are heavy odds-on favourites to win the 2021-22 season of Ligue 1. Les Parisiens have finished in the top 2 in the last 10 seasons and have won 7 of them.

Paris Saint-Germain have completed many key transfers by now that have significantly strengthened their roster, which is already the most powerful in France. They bought Sergio Ramos, one of the most titled centre-backs in the world. Georginio Wijnaldum and Ashraf Hakimi moved to PSG from Liverpool and Inter, respectively. Gianluigi Donnarumma, who was named the best player of Euro 2020, moved to Paris too.

There is also a high probability of Lionel Messi joining Les Parisiens this summer as a free agent, after Barcelona failed to re-sign him due to its financial problems and league rules. Even if Kylian Mbappe, the best goalscorer of the league and PSG in the 2020-21 season, leaves the club this summer — Messi is sure to take his place in the opponents’ penalty area.

PSG finished 2020-21 Ligue 1 with 26 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. They scored the greatest number of goals (86) and conceded the second least number (28) in the previous season.

Les Parisiens to win in the 2021-22 Ligue 1 are priced with the odds of 1.20 (-500 American; 1/5 Fractional), whereas their finishing in the top 4 comes with the odds of 1.01 (-10000; 1/100). The probabilities are about 80% and 99%, respectively

To finish 2021-22 Ligue 1 in top 4 betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities

Lyon are odds-on favourites, the only besides PSG to finish the new season of Ligue 1 in the top 4. This comes as no surprise: they hold a record of the second greatest number of third places in Ligue 1 (9). Lyon have finished 8 of the last 10 Ligue 1 seasons in the top 4.

Lyon haven’t been as productive in their transfer activity as PSG. However, they have transferred 5 players from Lyon В , which should significantly rejuvenate their squad. They were also joined by Damien Da Silva and Henrique as free agents. The Lyon’s roster was strengthened as well by the following players who returned from loan: Lenny Pintor, Moussa Dembele, Jeff Reine-Adelaide and Pape Cheikh.

Los Gones won 22 fixtures, drew 10 times and lost 6 games last season. This is the second least number of losses, but a lot of draws which capped them at fourth place. A younger roster may solve this problem. Also, they scored the second biggest number of goals (81).

Lyon to finish 2021-22 Ligue 1 in the top 4 are priced with the odds of 1.80 (-125; 4/5). Chances are about 55%.

Monaco have finished in the top 4 in 6 of the last 8 seasons while winning once.

They took the greatest number of third places which is equal to 13. Monaco have strengthened their midfield and attack by buying 3 players and transferring 1 from the Monaco B squad: Jean Lucas (Lyon), Ismail Jakobs (Koln), Myron Boadu (AZ Alkmaar) and Valentin Decarpentrie (Monaco B). Also, 9 players have returned from different clubs after expiration of their loan deals.

Monaco finished the previous season in third place with 24 victories, 6 draws and 8 losses. They won the second greatest number of matches.

Monaco to finish this season in the top 4 come with the odds of 2.00 (+100; evens). Chances are around 50%.

Lille are the current champions of Ligue 1 and Trophee des Champions.

Les Dogues have finished in the top 4 in 5 of the last 10 seasons, which is the weakest result among the teams on this list.

Their roster has extended with 2 new players during the summer transfer window: Amadou Onana, who was bought from Hamburg, and Rocco Ascone, who moved from Lille U19. Besides, 8 players have returned from their loans.

Les Dogues finished the 2020-21 season with 24 wins, 11 draws and 3 losses. Their numbers of losses and conceded goals were the lowest in the league.

Lille to finish 2021-22 Ligue 1 in the top 4 are priced with the odds of 2.20 (+120; 6/5). Chances are nearing 45%.

To be relegated in 2021-22 Ligue 1 betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities

Clermont finished 2020-21 Ligue 2 second, which made them qualify for Ligue 1. This team will play in Ligue 1 for the first time in their history, and it is unlikely that they will not finish at the bottom of the table.

Les Lanciers have bought 3 players this summer: Arial Mendy, Salis Abdul Samed and Elbasan Rashani. They might strengthen the current roster.

Clermont to be eliminated in Ligue 1 come with the odds of 5.00 (+400; 4/1). Chances are about 20%.

Troyes shined in the 2020-21 Ligue 2 and finished first. They won 23 matches, drew 8 and lost 7 times. One should know that they have lost 3 friendly matches with 1 draw against Ligue 1 teams.

That said, Troyes have bought many players who will strengthen this team for sure: Jessy Moulin, Yasser Larouci, Metinho, Rominigue Kouame, Renaud Ripart, Mama Balde, Mykola Kukharevych and Nassim Chadli. These changes may be enough to stay in the current league, or may not.

Troyes' return to Ligue 2 is priced with the odds of 5.00 (+400; 4/1). Probability here is also abour 20%.

Top 2021-22 Ligue 1 goalscorer betting market: latest odds, statistics and probabilities

Kylian Mbappe is the favourite to be the top goalscorer of the new season in Ligue 1. He scored 27 goals in 31 fixtures in the 2020-21 season. Kylian finished 49.1% of his shots on target successfully last season, which is the second highest result on this list.

Mbappe to be top goalscorer in the next season comes with the odds of 1.75 (-133; 3/4). Chances are around 55%.

Neymar is the second best contender for the title, according to online bookmakers. The Brazilian player hasn't shown top-level performance for Les Parisiens yet. He scored 9 goals in 18 matches last season, which is a rather low result for a player of his level.

Neymar to score the greatest number of goals in 2021-22 Ligue 1 is priced with the odds of 7.00 (+600; 6/1). Probability is a little below 15%.

Wissam Ben Yedder is a single player, who is not from PSG on this list. His strong side is finishing attacks of his team. He successfully completed approximately 60% of his shots on target last season, which is the highest ratio among the players on this list. In doing so he scored 20 goals. However, Ben Yedder is unlikely to be the top goalscorer of Ligue 1, due to the level of his club, which is much weaker than Paris Saint-Germain.

Wissam Ben Yedder to be top goalscorer in 2021-22 Ligue 1 comes with the odds of 12.00 (+1100; 11/1). Chances are a little below 10%.

Also, if Lionel Messi joins PSG before the transfer window is closed in France, he will be the top 2 contender for the title this season alongside Kylian Mbappe. And if Mbappe leaves Paris, then Messi will be a certain odds-on favourite to land the local Golden Boot.

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